ADA against dollars, bitcoin and ether — because “ADA is up” and “ADA is gaining on BTC” are different facts. Each chart carries the levels where the pair has turned before, and a 6% target measured against what the pair has actually delivered.
No buy or sell points are marked, on purpose. Dashed lines are where price reversed before — a fact about the past, not a fence around the future. The tables show how often a 6% move has actually occurred and which direction tended to come first. What you do with that stays your decision; nothing here is financial advice.
ADA / USDT
$0.225
1y range position: 29% (0 = year low, 100 = year high)daily swing: 3.9%≥6% swings: ~57/yr · median 13.7% over 5d
From any day…
−6% first
+6% first
neither
within 7d
52%
44%
4%
within 30d
54%
46%
0%
within 90d
54%
46%
0%
Green = the pair reached a 6% cheaper buy-back first (seller's framing); red = it ran 6% higher first. Same-day ties count as the rise — the unfavourable reading. ~2 years of overlapping windows: frequencies, not forecasts.
ADA / BTC
274.3 sats
1y range position: 21% (0 = year low, 100 = year high)daily swing: 2.7%≥6% swings: ~34/yr · median 13.0% over 8d
From any day…
−6% first
+6% first
neither
within 7d
40%
35%
24%
within 30d
58%
42%
0%
within 90d
59%
41%
0%
Green = the pair reached a 6% cheaper buy-back first (seller's framing); red = it ran 6% higher first. Same-day ties count as the rise — the unfavourable reading. ~2 years of overlapping windows: frequencies, not forecasts.
ADA / ETH
0.0000923 ETH
1y range position: 20% (0 = year low, 100 = year high)daily swing: 2.8%≥6% swings: ~27/yr · median 14.6% over 7.5d
From any day…
−6% first
+6% first
neither
within 7d
38%
31%
31%
within 30d
60%
40%
0%
within 90d
61%
39%
0%
Green = the pair reached a 6% cheaper buy-back first (seller's framing); red = it ran 6% higher first. Same-day ties count as the rise — the unfavourable reading. ~2 years of overlapping windows: frequencies, not forecasts.
Why three pairs. ADA/USDT is what your dollars feel. ADA/BTC is whether ADA is earning or bleeding against the market's reserve asset — it can fall for months while the dollar price rises. ADA/ETH is the same question against the other majors. A 6% round trip exists on each pair independently, and the cadence table shows they are not equally generous. Swing levels use the same confirmed local-extreme rule as the ADA Trade Planner; the race statistic is the planner's, applied per pair.